Fri. Feb 21st, 2020

Coronavirus ‘could infect 60% of global population if unchecked’

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Professor Gabriel Leung, an epidemiologist and president of public health medicine at the University of Hong Kong,

His warning came after the head of the World Health Organization (WHO) said recent cases of coronavirus patients who had never visited China could be the “tip of the iceberg”.

Prof Gabriel Leung, the chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University, said the overriding question was to figure out the size and shape of the iceberg. Most experts thought that each person infected would go on to transmit the virus to about 2.5 other people. That gave an “attack rate” of 60-80%.

sources

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30260-9/fulltext

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